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2024-12-14 08:37:44

 Countering the price limit of Western countries, Putin extended the oil supply ban. On the 13th, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a presidential decree, announcing the extension of the counter-measures to set price ceilings for Russian oil and oil products until June 30, 2025. Putin signed a presidential decree on December 27, 2022, demanding that the supply of Russian petroleum and petroleum products to foreign legal persons and individuals who directly or indirectly use the price ceiling mechanism in their contracts be prohibited. This presidential decree came into effect on February 1, 2023, and its validity period was extended several times. In early December, 2022, EU member states reached an agreement on setting a price ceiling of $60 per barrel for Russian seaborne oil exports. The Group of Seven and Australia announced that they would implement the same price limit policy as the EU. (Xinhua News Agency)Hokkaido, Japan will levy accommodation tax from 2026, and it is estimated that the annual tax revenue will reach 4.5 billion yen. On December 12, the plenary session of Hokkaido Parliament of Japan passed a regulation to levy accommodation tax on tourists staying in hotels and hotels in Daodao, which is expected to be implemented from April 2026. The accommodation fee per person per night is 500 yen if it is above 50,000 yen (about 2,380 yuan), 200 yen if it is between 20,000 and 50,000 yen, and 100 yen if it is below 20,000 yen. It is estimated that the annual tax revenue will reach about 4.5 billion yen, which will be used for transportation infrastructure construction and "excessive tourism" (tourism pollution) countermeasures.


USD/CAD of USD/CAD once rose by 0.2%, hitting a four-and-a-half-year high of 1.4244.Kaitou Macro: There is no end in sight for the industrial difficulties in the euro zone. Jack Allen-Reynolds, a macro economist at Kaitou, said in a report that the stagnation of industrial production in the euro zone in October shows that its industrial sector is still weak and will continue to struggle. In fact, he said, without Ireland's data, the G-20' s constant production data would look much worse, or it would drop by 0.5% month-on-month, while Ireland's data is notoriously unstable. Allen-Reynolds said that the output in October excluding Ireland decreased by 2.8% compared with the same period of last year, which was 18% lower than the output level of energy-intensive industries before the outbreak of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. He said that automobile production is 17% lower than the pre-epidemic level. Although the production performance of other industries is not so bad, the latest survey shows that the overall industrial production continues to decline.Beijing issued a new policy to reduce the logistics cost of the whole society. The "Implementation Plan for Effectively Reducing the Logistics Cost of the Whole Society in Beijing" (hereinafter referred to as the "Plan") released on the 13th proposed that Beijing would improve its cargo transportation capacity and vigorously develop air freight. Strengthen the construction of Beijing airport-type national logistics hub, actively expand international routes, and constantly improve the aviation network layout of "all cargo aircraft+passenger aircraft belly cabin". The plan puts forward 16 measures around five key areas, such as improving cargo transportation capacity, improving logistics infrastructure network, improving urban distribution service, strengthening enterprise service and management, and promoting innovation-driven development. (Zhongxin. com)


Faba Bank: The Fed will formulate policies in consideration of inflation risks. Economists at Faba Bank wrote that it may be difficult for Fed officials to formulate and discuss monetary policies "without being involved in the debate on President-elect Trump's potential economic policies". They expect FOMC to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, as reflected by the market. They added that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell "may use the press conference to provide options for further relaxing the suspension of monetary policy." They don't expect him to directly comment on Trump's policies, "but FOMC will formulate policies consistent with managing high inflation risks," economists said.Beijing issued a new policy to reduce the logistics cost of the whole society. The "Implementation Plan for Effectively Reducing the Logistics Cost of the Whole Society in Beijing" (hereinafter referred to as the "Plan") released on the 13th proposed that Beijing would improve its cargo transportation capacity and vigorously develop air freight. Strengthen the construction of Beijing airport-type national logistics hub, actively expand international routes, and constantly improve the aviation network layout of "all cargo aircraft+passenger aircraft belly cabin". The plan puts forward 16 measures around five key areas, such as improving cargo transportation capacity, improving logistics infrastructure network, improving urban distribution service, strengthening enterprise service and management, and promoting innovation-driven development. (Zhongxin. com)ECB officials are expected to cut interest rates further. Villeroy supports the market view, and several ECB officials said that more interest rate cuts are coming. Francois Villeroy de Galhau, governor of the French central bank, said that investors' bets on a cumulative interest rate cut of more than 100 basis points seemed reasonable. "There will be more interest rate cuts next year, and many times," he said on Friday. "Although the central bank did not promise the specific interest rate trajectory in advance, it seems to be quite reassuring to predict the financial market". The interest rate swap market reflects a rate cut of about 120 basis points by the end of next year. According to informed sources, the European Central Bank plans to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year, and may also cut interest rates once in March.

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